( DAC 01 Item 1 ) ---------------------------------------------- [ 7/31/01 ]

Subject: The DAC Numbers

A CRASHING ECONOMY:  Most people in their DAC trip reports noted how the
attendance seemed down this year.  The initial estimates given at DAC itself
was that attendance was down 15%.  Now, after having time to finally compile
all the data, it turns out that 16,054 people went to DAC last year in New
Orleans and that only 14,081 people came to this year's DAC in Las Vegas.
That's a drop of 12%.  But the real news was in the DAC demographics.

  EDA Vendors:

      DAC 2000  ############################################### 9,416
      DAC 2001  ######################################## 7,969 (-15%)

  EDA Buyers:

      DAC 2000  #################### 3,934
      DAC 2001  ############ 2,501 (-36%)

  Academics/Press/Students:

      DAC 2000  ##### 1,080
      DAC 2001  ####### 1,310 (+21%)

  Guests/Wives/Husbands/Others:

      DAC 2000  ######## 1,624
      DAC 2001  ############ 2,301 (+42%)

The EDA vendors sending 15% less people was surprising, but it's that 36%
drop in EDA buyers that shocked people.  That's why the exhibit floor was
empty this year!  And why the buyers didn't come was because in the months
immediately proceeding this DAC, there were layoff, *lots* layoffs:

                % of company cut                           size of cut
                ----------------                           -----------
          3Com  ############ -12%                              1,400
 National Semi  ########## -10%                                1,100
           IDT  ################## -18%                          900
         Intel  ###### -6%                                     5,000
 Cisco Systems  ##### -5%                                      2,700
        Compaq  ############ -12%                              8,500
        Nortel  ##################### -21%                    30,000
        Lucent  ################## -18%                       16,000
          Dell  ############# -13%                             5,700
      Motorola  ########### -11%                              16,000
            TI  ########### -11%                               4,600
  JDS Uniphase  ###################################### -38%    8,000
       STMicro  #### -4%                                       1,500
    PMC-Sierra  ############# -13%                               230
      Conexant  #################### -20%                      1,500
           EMC  #### -4%                                       1,100
      Ericsson  ############ -12%                             13,100
       Philips  ### -3%                                        7,000

Plus Adaptec, IBM, and Palm had layoffs with Broadcom, Infineon, Juniper,
Agilent, and HP were hinting at possible layoffs and Sun and LSI put their
companies on forced vacations around the same timeframe.

Simply put, you just don't ask your boss if you can go to *any* conference
(no matter how good it is) when he's busy putting together the list of
who's going to be laid off next month.  (The laughable irony here is that
layoffs are, at best, an extremely temporary fix to a company's money
problems.  The only stable way out of this fiscal purgatory is to *design*
products that are bigger, smaller, faster, cheaper, use-less-power, better
than ever before -- and that means using even more EDA tools!)


    "Some of the DAC marketeers were complaining of scant attendance on the
     main exhibit floor.  I find many of their exhibits on the floor to be
     devoid of substance, if not downright insulting."

          - Richard Minnick of Aware


    "The worst thing about DAC is the deterioration of the demos.  Over the
     years, PowerPoint is replacing EDA tools even in the suite demos.
     Meanwhile, the booth demos are disappearing entirely.  When I was in
     EDA, we demonstrated the actual software, and customers still called
     it vaporware.  Now, they just draw pictures of how it's supposed to
     work.  What do we call this?  Etherware?"

          - John McGehee of Voom, Inc.


    "Rubicad had an interesting entertainer who called on audience members
     to pick a card and then through observing pulse, twitches and other
     physical mannerisms on the volunteer, he could figure out what the
     exact card was.  The entertainer taunted Synopsys employees in
     the adjacent booth who would watch his act, saying stuff like: "come
     on over here and watch, after all, nobody's coming to your booth!"

          - Cliff Cummings of Sunburst Designs


    "It looked like the Avanti booth must have had a force field around
     it.  No one seemed to want to go near it.

          - Jeff West of Silicon Logic Engineering, Inc.


    "Just wanted to pass along my observations from DAC'2001.  What I found
     refreshing was that the "pride had returned to EDA" - after loosing it
     for  a couple years to the Dot Com mania.  There were several startups
     pitching  their technologies, each trying to innovate in a niche space.

     Collectively, I felt, they are headed in the right direction of solving
     today's and tomorrow's EDA needs."

          - Nagendra Srinivas Cherukupalli, Cypress Semiconductor


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