( ESNUG 542 Item 8 ) -------------------------------------------- [06/24/14]

Subject: Intel, 7 PnR users, Atrenta, Mac, Aart, Nimbic, ProPlus, TSMC

POST-DAC RECOVERY: Here's the latest news & rumors I've heard about EDA and
the fabs since DAC.  Feel free to comment/correct/scold anything!

          ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

   - INTEL OUTS ITSELF AT DAC: For the past 2 decades the #1 rule in EDA
     was Thou-Shalt-NOT-Ever-Publically-Admit-Intel-Is-Your-Customer-EVER.
     And we're not talking a gentleman's wink-wink, nod-nod "no", but a
     scorched earth OUR-LAWYERS-WILL-CRUSH-YOUR-BONES-AND-BURY-YOU NO from
     the "only the paranoid survive" Intel.

              

     But now the Intel Custom Foundry wants to start selling some of its
     juicy excess 14 nm capacity before TSMC and GF figure out the recipe
     for 14 nm themselves.  So suddenly, now the ICF people are looking to
     quickly build an EDA and IP ecosystem -- which means Intel asking
     Synopsys/Cadence/Mentor/Apache/etc. to now chat-up how their EDA tools
     work "so nicely" with Intel 14 nm Tri-Gates.  Total policy reversal!

            

     Holy crap!  This is the EDA equivalent of when the USSR suddenly took
     down the Berlin Wall which separated East Germany from West Germany.
     This will radically change chip design and fab for years to come.

          ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

     I did a quick & dirty perception audit of 7 hands-on PnR users on
     what they thought of ICC vs. EDI vs. Atop vs. Olympus:

        - Three said they used IC Compiler for legacy reasons and
          would probably stick with it.  "Why fix what ain't broke?"

        - Five said that all 4 PnR tools were roughly equivalent
          now -- for designs of 1 M instances (or less) WHO drove
          the PnR tool was more important than WHICH PnR tool used.

        - One highly recommended Atoptech.  "It's about efficiency.
          We consistantly get good results with ATOP on a mix of
          different design styles without having to hand hold it."

        - Three were happy to hear about CDNS Project Novus and how
          it'll beat ICC II.  "It's good to hear that CDNS R&D wasn't
          loafing around" and "We want to see more about it".

        - All seven users completely doubted Aart's ICC-II-will-be-10X
          faster/better/happier/whatever claims.  "2X or 3X, OK, that
          I'd believe.  But 10X???  That's pure Marketing B.S."

        - Three said Wally adding the Oasys RealTime RTL Floorplanner
          moved Sierra Olympus-SoC out from being "behind" to now
          being "on par" with ICC/EDI/Atoptech.

        - And one user wished for the good olde Magma days to return.
          "I'd kill for a 16 nm rev of Talus to run on my blocks."

     Keep in mind this is just PnR user street talk, NOT benchmarks, etc.

     What I count more is what the bulk of the users later say when I do
     my annual DAC "Best Of" Census in September.

     Also know it's common to use two PnR tools on the same chip.  For
     example, Atoptech/Sierra/Magma on blocks, and then ICC/EDI for the
     top level -- which means no one PnR tool wins everything overall.

          ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

   - Rumors that Atrenta is "just about to be acquired" has flared up
     yet again.  This time two different spies have reported this.

       

     Both spies have said it was Cadence looking to buy; one spy reports
     that the bid was for $145 million and he thinks Atrenta's 2013 income
     was $46 million; the second spy says $180 million and $60 revenues.
     (Funny that both see a 3x multiple.)  Either way, both agreed that
     Ajoy turned down the offer(s) because ATRT could make more in an IPO.

          ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

   - I finally got visual confirmation of an old ESNUG 509 #6 rumor that,
     yes, Mike McNamara, the old CDNS C-to-Silicon synth marketing bigwig
     is using Forte Cynthesizer to make USB IP.  Funny how sides change!

          ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

   - And, yes, exactly as my spies predicted 2 months ago in ESNUG 538 #10,
     Aart de Geus was only at DAC for DAC Monday -- because he was at the
     Brussels IMEC Forum for the rest of the DAC week!  Told ya so!

          ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

   - FUN QUOTES:
    
        "They paid too little!"

             - Raul Compansano on MENT buying his Nimbic.

        "We paid too much!"

             - Wally Rhines on his MENT buying Nimbic.

     Although the official numbers were never released, word on the street
     is MENT paid $7 to $8 million for a Nimbic that earned $2.5 million
     annually, making a multiple of 2.8X to 3.2X.

          ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

   - After his infamous "I'm a Bitcoin billionare" April Fool's joke of
     ESNUG 538 #5, Mike Dini reports his company's servers have been under
     steady break-in attacks from IP addresses inside Russia and China.

             

     "I guess those fools think they'll get my Bitcoin billions!  Ha!,"
     laughs Mike.  "We have layers of firewalls.  My IT guys swats these
     break-in attempts like a horse swatting flies.  What chumps!"

          ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

   - FUN SNOOP: The former ProPlus North American sales account manager
     Zdzislaw Marcisz was now seen working at Solido.  The former ProPlus
     marketing guy Amit Nanda is now at Silvaco.  What's up at ProPlus?

          ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

   - FUN FACT:

     Design Automation & Test in Europe (DATE) conference attendance

              2005: ########################## 3895
              2006: ############################### 4651
              2007: ################################# 4922
              2008: ############################### 4670
              2009: ################# 2476
              2010: ############# 1925
              2011: ############### 2290
              2012: ############### 2200
              2013: ########### 1600
              2014: ########## 1450

     Most Americans describe DATE as Europe's DAC.  This year DATE 2014
     was held in March in Dresden, Germany.

          ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

   - I heard last week the CDNS-Jasper merger finally got approved by
     FTC.  The quiet gossip is it got delayed by having to do a full
     Hart-Scott-Rodino anti-trust review.  No biggie because Jasper has
     competition everywhere.  My congrats to Kathryn for a $146 million
     (net) deal -- with $28 million revenue that's a 5X multiple.  Wow!

          ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

   - Duolog got acquired by ARM.  Doulog services was based in Romania
     and worked primarily on TI OMAP.  Made an estimated at $3.5 million
     per year, but then all of IT OMAP died.  Duolog product is based in
     Ireland and works on Socrates, an RTL debug/IP environment.  It also
     makes estimated $3.5 million.  Word is they got 2x to 3x for only
     the Socrates product, meaning a sale price of $7 to $10 million.

          ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

   - A year ago CDNS Tempus was the new challenger to Aart's Primetime
     monopoly.  Now, through my spies and indiscreet connections, I've
     found out that TI, Freescale, Renesas, NXP, Hitachi use Tempus.

         

     Plus recently LG (ESNUG 541 #3) and, on my DAC Troublemaker Panel,
     Anirudh openly leaked "Broadcom uses Tempus for 14/16 nm flows."

          ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

   - Speaking of ARM, the one big announcement Aart's marketing people
     did 4 days before DAC was his new DesignWare ARC EM5D and EM7D cores:
     32-bit FPU's, 72-bit accumulators, "100 new DSP instructions", Q31
     and Q15 data types, "7 uW/MHz on 40-nm."  C/C++ compiler included.
     SNPS is aggressively chasing Simon Segars' cheaper uP IP seats here.

          ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

   - FUN QUOTES:

        "Hey, Kathryn, what do you plan to do now now that Cadence has
         bought Jasper?"

              - Dean Drako to Kathryn Kranen

        "Oh, I'll stay there as long as I'm learning and contributing."

              - Kathryn Kranen to Dean Drako

        "So...  what do you plan to do 2 weeks after joining Cadence?"

              - Dean Drako to Kathryn Kranen

          ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

   - Now that Andrew Yang has officially left, the word is Ansys/Apache
     is still under internal chaos.  According to one ex-Apache source:
     "Everyone's afraid there."

         

     Whether CDNS Voltus can use this temporary chaos to gain a foothold
     against the Redhawk IR-drop/EM monopoly is anyone's guess.  There's
     big juicy base of Redhawk users up for grabs there!

          ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

   - FUN QUOTE

        "Calypto snagged Google as a customer PLUS they got GOOG
         to publically speak about it in their DAC booth???

         How the %#*& did Sanjiv pull that one off???"

             - An Anon EDA Vendor

          ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

   - D'OH!: Word is that the DAC Monday keynote by TSMC bigwig Cliff Hou
     was a major success.  He drew a large crowd and his speech was full
     of interesting data and TSMC insights that engineers loved.

              

     The one big glaring mistake was out of all 5 keynotes given at this
     DAC, Cliff's killer speech was the only one NOT video tapped!  D'oh!

          ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----    ----

And again, feel free to comment/correct/scold/question anything you see here
by just emailing me directly.  And, yes, you'll be ANONYMOUS!

    - John Cooley
      DeepChip.com                               Holliston, MA

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